Vikinglotto Odds Calculator

This Vikinglotto odds calculator is built around the Nordic 6-from-48 matrix plus a Viking number drawn from a five-way pool (digits 1 through 5). Start with Tickets: that is the number of distinct lines you will buy for one Wednesday draw, not the number of weeks you plan to subscribe. One ticket is one six-number main combination plus one Viking digit. Ten tickets means ten independent lines. The engine treats those lines as independent trials against the same jackpot probability, which is exact when every line is a unique full combination and still a tight approximation if you accidentally repeat a Viking number on otherwise different mains.

Price defaults to 1 because Vikinglotto is typically sold around one euro per line, though Danske Spil, Veikkaus, Norsk Tipping, Svenska Spel, and the Baltic or Slovenian partners can bundle add-ons that change what you actually pay. Overwrite Price so Jackpot EV matches cash leaving your pocket. Leave Price at zero only if you want a probability-only view with no cost drag. Jackpot is the advertised top prize in the same currency as Price. Vikinglotto jackpots are smaller than Eurojackpot, but they roll across the nine-country pool. Paste the current published figure before Wednesday; the EV line uses only that top prize and ignores Match 5 plus Viking and the rest of the prize table.

Main Matches controls the six white balls. Leave it at 6 when you are studying the jackpot path on the main matrix. Drop it to 5, 4, or 3 to see hypergeometric odds of matching exactly that many of the six drawn numbers, which is how you sanity-check lower Vikinglotto tiers without pretending this tool is a full official prize-table replica. Bonus Matches is the Viking number: set it to 1 when the prize you care about also requires the correct digit from 1–5; set it to 0 when you are pricing a main-ball prize that does not need the Viking. Full jackpot odds in this model are the 6/48 hit multiplied by a 1-in-5 Viking hit.

Read Jackpot Odds as 1-in-N for a single line, This Prize Odds for the Main Matches and Bonus Matches pair you selected, Jackpot Chance as the at-least-once probability across your Tickets, and Jackpot EV as tickets times (jackpot times p minus price). If EV is a few cents below minus the ticket cost, buying more Tickets raises Chance almost linearly at first and also multiplies expected loss. Use this page to compare a one-line Wednesday habit against a burst of extra lines when the advertised jackpot looks “due,” which it never is.

Vikinglotto is the pan-Nordic lottery launched in 1993, originally a cooperation among the Nordic state operators and later expanded. Draws run on Wednesday. Participating countries today include Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Slovenia. That geography matters because the jackpot is a shared pari-mutuel pool, not nine separate national top prizes. A line bought in Reykjavík and a line bought in Ljubljana sit in the same combination space: six numbers from 1 to 48 plus a Viking number from 1 to 5.

The Viking number is the design quirk that separates this game from a plain 6/48. The bonus pool is tiny. Only five Viking digits exist, so the extra factor on the jackpot is 1/5 rather than the 1/10 or 1/26 you see on other European extras. That makes Vikinglotto’s headline odds harsher than C(48,6) alone but still far easier than Eurojackpot or SuperEnalotto. Typical line price is about one euro, which is why this calculator defaults Price to 1 and Jackpot to a few million euros rather than nine-figure American advertised annuities.

Operators remain national. Danske Spil sells Vikinglotto in Denmark alongside the domestic Lotto 7/36; Veikkaus, Norsk Tipping, and Svenska Spel do the same in their markets. You cannot treat Vikinglotto as a substitute for those national games: different matrices, different draw days, different prize tables. You also cannot treat it as Eurojackpot. Eurojackpot is 5/50 plus two from 12 on Friday; Vikinglotto is Wednesday 6/48 plus one from five. Mixing those in your head is the most common way people misread “Nordic lottery odds.”

This page models the jackpot as matching all six main numbers and the Viking number. Real Vikinglotto prize tables include several lower tiers, some of which require the Viking and some of which do not. Secondary prizes are often pari-mutuel and vary by country-specific tax and rounding rules. The calculator’s Jackpot EV therefore ignores those lower tiers on purpose: it is a jackpot-only expected-value snapshot, which is the honest way to decide whether an inflated Wednesday headline changes anything. It almost never does. Use the tool to put a number on a shared Nordic jackpot, not to reconstruct every national operator’s full payout sheet.

Vikinglotto is the Wednesday Nordic 6/48 whose jackpot also demands a Vikingtal from a five-way pool numbered 1 through 5. Participating operators include Danske Spil, Veikkaus, Norsk Tipping, Svenska Spel, and Baltic or Slovenian partners; the prize is a shared pari-mutuel pot, not nine separate national jackpots. Main combinations: C(48,6) = 48×47×46×45×44×43 / 720 = 12,271,512. The Vikingtal is independent, C(5,1) = 5. Jackpot probability is 1/[C(48,6)×C(5,1)] = 1/61,357,560. That extra factor of five is milder than a ten-way Chance ball and milder than Powerball's twenty-six, yet it still turns a 12.3 million main wall into a 61.4 million top prize. There is no order term: six mains are an unordered set.

Derivation of 12,271,512 by pairing is straightforward. Forty-eight over two is 24, forty-five over five is 9, forty-four over four is 11, then 24×47 = 1,128, times 46 = 51,888, times 9 = 466,992, times 11 = 5,136,912, times 43/6 = 12,271,512. Times five Viking digits: 61,357,560. A line that hits all six mains and misses the Vikingtal is 4/61,357,560, four times the jackpot probability, a real lower class, not the advertised top prize.

Hypergeometric mains: C(6,m)×C(42,6−m)/C(48,6). Five mains: 6×42 = 252, so 252/12,271,512 on the white balls. Multiply by 1/5 if the prize also needs the Vikingtal, or by 4/5 if it does not. Four mains: C(6,4)×C(42,2) = 15×861 = 12,915. The Vikingtal hypergeometric for a single draw from five is simply 1/5 or 4/5; it is not a second main drum.

Independent Wednesday lines give 1−(1−p)^n with p ≈ 1.63×10^−8. Ten lines ≈ 1.63×10^−7. One hundred lines ≈ 1.63×10^−6. A supermarket strip does not cover a meaningful slice of 61 million combinations. Eurojackpot on Friday is 5/50 plus two from twelve; stuffing those denominators into Wednesday Vikinglotto is the usual Nordic mix-up. Domestic Danish 7/36 is a different urn entirely.

Expected jackpot value is n×(J/61,357,560 − 1) at a typical one-euro stake. Breakeven on jackpot-only terms wants J = 61,357,560 in the same currency, far above ordinary Wednesday headlines. Three million over 61.4 million is about 4.9 cents against one euro, so about −0.951 per line. Ten lines scale to about −9.51. Extra lines scale chance and expected loss together; they do not improve euros per euro. Lower Viking-conditioned rungs add omitted return. Keep 6/48, keep 1-from-5, keep Wednesday.